Warhead convoy monitoring suggests that UK nuclear weapons stockpile increase has already begun

The increase in warhead numbers announced in the recent Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development, and Foreign Policy has already commenced and may even be nearing completion, according to an analysis by Nukewatch of nuclear warhead convoy journeys conducted over the last decade.

Warhead convoy, May 2020. Credit: Steve Pearson

In March 2021, as part of the Integrated Review, the government announced that the UK will move to an overall nuclear weapon stockpile of no more than 260 warheads. Nukewatch has prepared a technical note to explain the announcement in the Integrated Review in the light of our monitoring of warhead convoy movements between the Atomic Weapons Establishment (AWE) in Berkshire, where they are manufactured and serviced, and the Royal Naval Armaments Depot in Coulport in Scotland, whether they are stored.

Our analysis shows that in the first part of the decade (2010 – 2015) there was a slow but steady reduction in numbers of warheads in the UK warhead stockpile held at Coulport. However, from 2015-6 onwards this trend is reversed, and there has been a net transfer of warheads from AWE to Coulport, resulting in an increase in the stockpile held by the Royal Navy. There has been a marked upturn in the rate of delivery of warheads from AWE to Coulport over the past two years, 2019 and 2020.

Nukewatch believes the initial reduction in warhead numbers can be explained by measures to bring the UK warhead stockpile to below 180, as pledged in the 2010 Strategic Defence and Security Review by the then Conservative – Liberal Democrat government. From around 2015/16 AWE commenced delivery of the Mk4A upgrade of the UK Trident warhead to the Royal Navy, and increases in the stockpile observed since 2015-16 represent deliveries of newly manufactured Mk4A warheads. Assuming a 2010 baseline of 225 warheads in the stockpile, on the basis of our assessment Nukewatch estimates that the UK warhead stockpile had grown to around 250 warheads by December 2020.

Read the full details here.

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Nuclear bombs sneak through Glasgow after midnight – 4 arrested in protest

From Scottish Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament

A convoy of more than 20 military vehicles drove through the centre of Glasgow on the M74 shortly after midnight last night. The convoy included four special lorries which transport Trident nuclear bombs. The convoy was stopped for one hour near Loch Lomond by protesters from Faslane Peace Camp. One climbed on top of a nuclear transporter. Four peace campers were arrested.

Scottish CND coordinator, John Ainslie, followed the convoy as it drove along the M74 from Hamilton, through the South of Glasgow, then over the Erskine Bridge. Mr Ainslie said,

“This is an insult to the people of Glasgow and the rest of Scotland. Only 10 weeks before we vote on whether to be independent, the UK Government have sent this massive convoy of Weapons of Mass Destruction through the centre of Scotland’s largest city. The convoy was probably carrying six Trident bombs, each one seven times more powerful than the bomb which destroyed Hiroshima in 1945. This should be taken as a clear reminder of why people need to vote Yes – to rid Scotland of these horrific nuclear weapons.”

See video of the convoy on its way north to Scotland

 
FURTHER INFORMATION

The convoy left the Atomic Weapons Establishment in Burghfield around 9 am yesterday (Thursday). It arrived at the Coulport nuclear store at 2.30 am this morning (Friday). It was tracked by Nukewatch and the Scottish Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament.

The convoy lorries can each carry two Trident nuclear bombs. Normal practice is for one lorry in the convoy to be empty. So a reasonable estimate is that the convoy was carrying six 100-kiloton nuclear bombs.

The UK government are currently upgrading Trident bombs to a new Mk4A design. The convoy was probably bringing new Mk4A bombs to replace older Mk4A bombs. The Mk4A upgrade programme is a significant enhancement of the capability of the UK’s nuclear force.  It makes the bombs more effective.

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Nuclear Weapons driven through Glasgow.

On the 29th January 2014 a military convoy of 19 vehicles drove through Glasgow on the M74. It was bringing nuclear weapons from the Atomic Weapons Establishment Burghfield, in Berkshire to the nuclear weapons store at RNAD Coulport on Loch Long. The convoy had left AWE Burghfield in the morning on the 28th January and arrived at Coulport at 1.25 am on the 29th January.

The following motion was put down in the Scottish Parliament objecting the nuclear weapons’ convoy:

Motion S4M-08888: Bill Kidd, Glasgow Anniesland, Scottish National Party, Date Lodged: 29/01/2014
Nuclear Weapons Driven Through Glasgow

“That the Parliament notes with grave concern what it believes is the regular transportation of nuclear weapons on roads throughout Scotland; understands that, in the early hours of the morning of 29 January 2014, a 19-vehicle convoy, which was transporting nuclear weapons from the Atomic Weapons Establishment in Berkshire to Coulport on Loch Long, used the M74 to drive through Glasgow; further understands that such convoys do not carry radiation warning symbols and neither the public nor the local authority areas that they pass through are warned about the material being transported; believes that the majority of the people of Glasgow and Scotland remain opposed to the UK Government’s policy of maintaining and upgrading the Trident system, and hopes that public awareness of what it sees as this ongoing and dangerous practice will strengthen the calls to rid Scotland of nuclear weapons once and for all.”

Supported by: Kenneth Gibson, Stuart McMillan, Annabelle Ewing, John Wilson R, Chic Brodie, Patrick Harvie, Joan McAlpine, Adam Ingram, Mike MacKenzie, George Adam, Rob Gibson, Richard Lyle, Gordon MacDonald, John Mason, David Torrance, Gil Paterson, Dennis Robertson, Kevin Stewart, John Finnie, Aileen McLeod, Linda Fabiani, Fiona McLeod, James Dornan, Sandra White, Jean Urquhart, Willie Coffey, Graeme Dey, Colin Beattie, Maureen Watt, Dave Thompson, Nigel Don, Bob Doris, Angus MacDonald, Colin Keir, Stewart Maxwell, Christina McKelvie, Mark McDonald, Clare Adamson, Marco Biagi R

The news of the nuclear weapons convoy also generated the following press:
http://news.stv.tv/west-central/262327-nuclear-convoys-along-m74-pose-unacceptable-risk-says-msp/
https://www.snp.org/media-centre/news/2014/jan/msp-condemns-risk-wmds-driven-through-glasgow
http://www.cumbernauld-news.co.uk/news/local-news/nuclear-safety-fears-for-cumbernauld-and-kilsyth-1-3353998
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/local-news/vehicles-laden-toxic-radio-active-material-3374671

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Nuclear Free Local Authorities (NFLA), Nuclear Information Services (NIS), Nukewatch and CND Joint Seminar 20th September 2013, Glasgow

The NFLA have co-operated with Nuclear Information Service, Nukewatch and CND to jointly organise a seminar to consider the post-Fukushima nuclear emergency planning regime and recent concerns raised in the media over the safety of nuclear weapon convoys from Aldermaston to Faslane and Coulport. The seminar will take place in Glasgow City Chambers 10.30am – 1pm, Friday 20th September.

This seminar, kindly hosted by Glasgow City Council, will consider the impact of the Fukushima disaster in reference to current UK nuclear emergency planning guidelines and whether there are any potential gaps in these arrangements at both military and civil nuclear sites. It will also consider whether there are adequate safety arrangements in place in the event of an emergency affecting a convoy transporting nuclear weapons from Berkshire to the west of Scotland. A recent article in ‘The Guardian’ of the MOD’s ‘Exercise Senator’ raised a number of significant concerns and the seminar will highlight them.

Confirmed speakers for the seminar include Peter Burt from Nuclear Information Service, Rob Edwards a freelance journalist for ‘The Guardian’ and ‘The Herald’, Jane Tallents from Nukewatch and the NFLA Secretary. We are also inviting the Scottish Government’s Civil Contingencies Unit and MOD staff responsible for guidelines around nuclear weapon convoys to speak at the seminar, or at the very least provide written statements of policy.

Please see flyer: http://www.nuclearpolicy.info/docs/events/NFLA_joint_seminar_September_flyer.pdf

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Scotland left to fend for itself during nuclear weapons accident exercise

12th June 2013

Delays and mistakes made during a major accident exercise involving a nuclear weapon would have resulted in Scotland being left to fend for itself by Whitehall government departments during a critical period in the handling of the emergency, according to an official report.

Also see Guardian report on Exercise Senator 2011

No official information about the disaster would have been available to the public for several hours after the accident, and disorganisation and delays in the medical response to the emergency meant that a seriously injured casualty who might otherwise have survived would have died.

The catalogue of errors is revealed in an internal Ministry of Defence report released on the handling of Exercise Senator 2011 -­ a rehearsal of arrangements for tackling an emergency involving a British nuclear weapon being transported along Scotland’s roads to the Trident nuclear submarine base on the Clyde. The report was released to Nukewatch following a request made under the Freedom of Information Act.

The real-life exercise took place at HMS Gannet, Prestwick Airport, Ayrshire, in September 2011, roleplaying an imaginary accident involving a nuclear weapons convoy which took place on the M74 near junction 5 at Motherwell -­ one of Scotland’s busiest sections of motorway.

Under the nightmare accident scenario, the emergency occurred when a large goods vehicle travelling north on the motorway suffered a front tyre blowout, causing it to crash through the central reservation into a nuclear weapons convoy. A truck loaded with Trident nuclear warheads swerved to avoid the accident and tipped over onto its side, and as a goods vehicle carrying road-surfacing equipment swerved to avoid the accident, its load broke loose and collided with another warhead carrier.

Two casualties died immediately as a result of the accident, seven more were injured, and between 50 and 100 drivers caught up in the incident were contaminated by radioactive material released as nuclear warheads burnt in the fire caused by the accident. A plume of radioactivity drifted away from the accident scene placing nearby homes and property at risk.

An exercise evaluation report prepared by the Defence Nuclear Safety Regulator (DNSR) concluded that there was essentially no MOD input to (and certainly no presence at) the main strategic emergency control centre until Ministry of Defence co-ordinating personnel arrived five and a half hours after the accident – a realistic timescale for an accident in Scotland?.

The lack of support from MoD created “major difficulties for the multi-agency response, which struggled to attain a meaningful understanding of the issues”. DNSR concluded that the lack of support “over such an extended and critical period” was “not acceptable”.

Scientific and technical advice provided by MoD to local civil agencies was also deemed “not adequate”, with “no apparent leadership or structure” and “repeated changes in representation” from MoD staff responsible for providing technical information, who at times disputed advice provided by local agencies.

The accident site response for treating casualties “became disorganised”, and it was “less than clear who was in charge” of medical arrangements at the scene. There was “considerable delay” in developing a plan to manage casualties contaminated with radioactivity and “significant further delay” in getting agreement send paramedics into the contaminated area to receive casualties. As a result of the delays, exercise controllers declared that a seriously injured casualty who might otherwise have survived had died.

Personnel tasked with briefing the media about the incident were misdirected to the wrong location, “which delayed any effective media response by several hours”, meaning that in a real life accident, no official information or safety advice would have been provided by the government to the media and the public.

The police were formally alerted to the accident by a fax message sent to the police headquarters, leading the exercise assessors to drily conclude that “arrangements for providing the initial written alert to the police are not adequate”.

Over 1000 personnel from 21 different government agencies took part in the exercise at various locations across Central Scotland and elsewhere in the UK, and the exercise was observed by nuclear weapons specialists from the USA and France.

Several of the government agencies which participated in the event were critical of the MoD’s preparations for the exercise, with the Scottish Government commenting that “exercise instructions were sent out too late by MoD and arrangements were finalised too late”, impacting on the level of Scottish Government involvement in the exercise. Other agencies complained that no funding had been provided by the Ministry of Defence to run the exercise and that the exercise play had started before all agencies had arrived at the mock accident site. As a result, DNSR concluded that “more systematic arrangements are required for exercise planning, particularly when engaging with many agencies.”

Councillor Bill Butler of Glasgow City Council, a former Member of the Scottish Parliament and chair of the Nuclear Free Local Authorities Scotland Forum said:
“To hear that in this exercise the Ministry of Defence was not advising senior emergency service and local authority representatives for a large amount of time, that public information provision was poor, and that the Ambulance Service were not able to deal with radioactively contaminated casualties sounds the alarm that emergency planning arrangements may not be as robust as they should be.

“I urge the Ministry of Defence to take the outcomes of this exercise very seriously and work more closely with local authorities and the emergency services to resolve these planning gaps”.

Jane Tallents of Nukewatch, a national network which monitors the transport of nuclear weapons said:
“Far from being an benign ‘insurance policy’ keeping the public safe, nuclear weapons actually increase the risks that we all face.

“This exercise shows that, at the height of the crisis, Scotland would be left to fend for itself by Whitehall in the event of an emergency involving a British nuclear weapon.

“The Ministry of Defence should not be moving nuclear weapons around the roads on convoys if it doesn’t take emergency planning seriously and organise exercises properly”.

 

For more information please contact:
Nukewatch: Jane Tallents on 07778 267833 or 01968677401.
Nuclear Free Local Authorities: Sean Morris on 07771 930196 or 0161 234 3244.

Documents relating to Exercise Senator 2011 released under the Freedom of Information Act are available to download at http://nuclearinfo.org/article/transport/scotland-left-fend-itself-during-nuclear-weapons-accident-exercise (at the bottom of the article)

Notes for editors:

1. Nukewatch is a national campaign network which monitors the transport of nuclear weapons through the UK. For more details please see 192.185.186.105/~nukewatc

2. Nuclear Free Local Authorities is the local government voice on nuclear issues ­ a cross-party group of around fifty local councils which tackles in practical ways, and within their powers, the problems posed by civil and military nuclear hazards. For more information please see www.nuclearpolicy.info

3. Video footage of the nuclear weapons convoy from the Nukewatch / Camcorder Guerillas film ‘Deadly Cargo’ is available online for use by the media at: http://vimeo.com/20872194 A short animated clip from the Ministry of Defence exercise video showing an aerial view of the accident scene is available at: https://www.dropbox.com/s/fvxoyla1wxn9crt/Senator%202011%20Exercise%20video.wmv

4. Nuclear warhead convoys travel between the Royal Naval Armaments Depot Coulport in Scotland and the Atomic Weapons Establishment in Berkshire up to 6 times per year transporting nuclear warheads for maintenance and inspection.

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Nukewatch obtains convoy contract details

Nukewatch has recently obtained a copy of the Ministry of Defence contract for supporting the nuclear weapons convoy, which was released following a request under the Freedom of Information Act.

The contract is part of MoD’s much larger contract with AWE plc for operating the Atomic Weapons Establishment, where the UK’s nuclear weapons are manufactured. AWE were awarded the contract to provide convoy support when the Ministry of Defence Police took over operation from the RAF in 2000.

Under the terms of the contract AWE is responsible for garaging and maintaining convoy vehicles, and for providing key convoy staff including drivers, convoy safety officers and firefighters, and vehicle and radio fitters.

Information about contract costs has been blacked out from the document, allegedly to protect AWE’s commercial confidentiality.

You can download a copy of the contract document here: http://192.185.186.105/~nukewatc/docs/convoy_contract.pdf

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